Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 1.834840 2.107937 2.411292 2.773857 3.196218 3.673665 4.255654
2025-04-20 1.460576 1.835486 2.294141 2.899418 3.681488 4.663678 5.999728
2025-04-27 1.214671 1.619905 2.148595 2.894592 3.929287 5.327087 7.381088
2025-05-04 1.078797 1.510074 2.103168 2.987673 4.289260 6.159156 9.093899
2025-05-11 0.953631 1.390362 2.018277 2.999915 4.519718 6.822516 10.650891
2025-05-18 0.854204 1.290891 1.943922 3.008589 4.733751 7.476491 12.281893
2025-05-25 0.751780 1.172173 1.822818 2.923489 4.780351 7.861702 13.520832
2025-06-01 0.693157 1.113561 1.786027 2.964865 5.032926 8.611355 15.495197
2025-06-08 0.648486 1.071444 1.769320 3.034661 5.338692 9.488369 17.836141
2025-06-15 0.598924 1.015097 1.721457 3.042324 5.531280 10.183260 19.939495
2025-06-22 0.543875 0.943164 1.638354 2.975193 5.574020 10.598847 21.548957
2025-06-29 0.499842 0.885990 1.574899 2.935764 5.662177 11.110037 23.434966
2025-07-06 0.446684 0.811678 1.481163 2.844916 5.673217 11.543354 25.413782
2025-07-13 0.424761 0.793945 1.492873 2.967616 6.150370 13.053323 30.213640
2025-07-20 0.390904 0.748960 1.445911 2.962923 6.354750 14.006035 33.916006
2025-07-27 0.371435 0.729684 1.446932 3.058378 6.794255 15.569895 39.514767
2025-08-03 0.345987 0.695210 1.412438 3.070935 7.045295 16.735056 44.360614
2025-08-10 0.322948 0.663019 1.378656 3.079832 7.288576 17.926351 49.581255
2025-08-17 0.294493 0.616159 1.307759 2.992550 7.280789 18.474626 53.093066
2025-08-24 0.278916 0.595553 1.292258 3.034986 7.609447 19.977615 59.880036
2025-08-31 0.266735 0.581116 1.288892 3.106574 8.027068 21.809328 68.218152
2025-09-07 0.251299 0.557608 1.261790 3.114434 8.273818 23.205305 75.527358
2025-09-14 0.232492 0.524347 1.207919 3.045579 8.295134 23.941808 80.786874